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Red89
550115.8
564120.3
716625.9
Blue82
85823.2
556728.9
516724.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59840501001508982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.92.1
23.625.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
blue by 3.0
28.90.4
27.027.4
Auto12.8
Teleop9.8
End6.3
Second
20.32.1
21.823.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End6.8
blue by 4.5
24.80.4
27.527.9
Auto11.5
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Third
15.82.1
12.914.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End7.4
blue by 7.4
858
#5
23.20.4
21.021.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned