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Red130
851630.1
460754.3
327645.0
Blue118
472843.3
534842.2
617517.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11480050100150130118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto9.5
Teleop42.1
End1.3
red by 11.0
43.30.4
42.943.3
Auto6.7
Teleop33.4
End2.0
Second
45.00.0
45.045.0
Auto7.6
Teleop35.9
End1.7
red by 2.9
42.20.4
41.842.2
Auto7.8
Teleop33.4
End0.5
Third
8516
#10
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto6.2
Teleop22.9
End1.0
red by 12.6
6175
#11
17.50.4
17.217.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.7
End-1.2