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Red59
851630.1
563842.4
662816.5
Blue66
706839.5
702838.5
670917.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811460801001401601805966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.43.4
43.940.5
Auto9.0
Teleop31.9
End1.2
red by 2.9
39.52.8
40.938.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End1.0
Second
8516
#10
30.13.4
38.835.4
Auto6.2
Teleop22.9
End1.0
blue by 8.5
38.52.8
44.441.6
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End1.4
Third
6628
#14
16.53.4
27.424.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.7
blue by 0.7
6709
#13
17.22.8
22.019.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed