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Red87
534842.2
469318.8
617517.5
Blue95
302636.2
472843.3
851630.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621190501001502008795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.6
42.843.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.4
End0.5
blue by 1.2
43.31.6
53.051.5
Auto6.7
Teleop33.4
End2.0
Second
4693
#17
18.80.6
16.917.6
Auto1.7
Teleop18.1
End-0.7
blue by 17.4
36.21.6
36.835.2
Auto8.0
Teleop27.4
End0.8
Third
6175
#11
17.50.6
17.618.2
Auto3.4
Teleop15.7
End-1.2
blue by 12.6
8516
#10
30.11.6
31.229.7
Auto6.2
Teleop22.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned