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Red30
617517.5
662816.5
670917.2
Blue99
423918.7
534842.2
422626.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37830501001502003099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#11
17.51.8
22.320.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.7
End-1.2
blue by 24.6
42.20.3
44.945.2
Auto7.8
Teleop33.4
End0.5
Second
6709
#13
17.21.8
17.816.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End-1.0
blue by 8.9
4226
#12
26.10.3
26.126.4
Auto6.6
Teleop19.7
End0.2
Third
6628
#14
16.51.8
17.615.7
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.7
blue by 2.2
4239
#16
18.70.3
18.719.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed