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Red85
423918.7
302636.2
460754.3
Blue107
563842.4
534842.2
702838.5
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123121809010011013014015085107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#1Sur
54.32.5
56.954.4
Auto9.5
Teleop42.1
End1.3
red by 12.0
42.40.9
39.438.5
Auto9.0
Teleop31.9
End1.2
Second
36.22.5
38.435.9
Auto8.0
Teleop27.4
End0.8
blue by 6.0
42.20.9
43.742.8
Auto7.8
Teleop33.4
End0.5
Third
4239
#16
18.72.5
27.224.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 19.9
38.50.9
38.737.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed