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Red143
462428.5
591351.1
205251.7
Blue129
298742.3
523244.0
392629.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011980100160180200143129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.3
51.451.7
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End8.8
red by 7.7
44.00.4
43.644.0
Auto9.1
Teleop24.4
End10.5
Second
51.10.3
50.951.1
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
red by 8.9
2987
#10
42.30.4
41.842.3
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End7.6
Third
4624
#29
28.50.3
28.228.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.7
End6.0
blue by 0.6
3926
#33
29.10.4
28.729.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End6.5