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Red59
657428.8
572018.3
870015.8
Blue105
249131.1
338125.2
591351.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63760204010012014059105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#25
28.81.3
26.124.8
Auto11.4
Teleop10.3
End7.1
blue by 22.3
51.13.9
27.831.7
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
Second
5720
#18
18.31.3
16.815.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
blue by 12.8
2491
#21
31.13.9
24.128.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
8700
#58
15.81.3
17.516.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End5.0
blue by 9.3
3381
#16
25.23.9
17.721.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned