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Qual 202023 Northern Lights Regional
Red105
523244.0
533916.5
16732.5
Blue71
375511.8
250238.2
416616.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60750204010012014010571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#3
44.05.2
25.1→30.2
Auto9.1
Teleop24.4
End10.5
red by 5.8
2502
#14
38.20.2
33.4→33.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End6.6
Second
167
#6
32.55.2
21.2→26.4
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End6.3
red by 15.6
4166
#36
16.90.2
16.3→16.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End7.7
Third
5339
#45
16.55.2
12.2→17.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.6
End5.3
red by 4.6
3755
#55
11.80.2
18.5→18.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed