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Red38
527113.7
870015.8
757814.8
Blue75
302322.4
392629.1
418120.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4967204060801001203875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8700
#58
15.81.1
16.615.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End5.0
blue by 13.3
3926
#33
29.11.1
20.421.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Second
7578
#49
14.81.1
15.013.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End4.9
blue by 7.6
3023
#39Sur
22.41.1
21.923.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.8
Third
5271
#28
13.71.1
16.715.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 6.9
4181
#44
20.61.1
18.019.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned