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Red120
675830.2
298742.3
727320.0
Blue68
52540.5
32983.6
657428.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806820406010012014012068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#10
42.35.1
36.041.1
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End7.6
red by 1.8
525
#11
40.50.3
28.128.4
Auto13.4
Teleop18.6
End8.5
Second
6758
#20
30.25.1
22.027.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End6.8
red by 1.4
6574
#25
28.80.3
24.625.0
Auto11.4
Teleop10.3
End7.1
Third
7273
#40
20.05.1
15.921.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 16.5
3298
#57
3.60.3
12.312.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed