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Red57
423926.8
554114.9
251215.6
Blue32
375511.8
767714.8
558623.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525802040801005732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.9
20.721.5
Auto10.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
red by 2.8
5586
#24
23.93.0
20.017.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Second
2512
#43
15.60.9
14.114.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End-0.6
red by 0.8
7677
#53
14.83.0
15.312.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Third
5541
#38
14.90.9
14.615.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End2.8
red by 3.1
3755
#55
11.83.0
18.215.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed