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Red94
73115.6
179229.2
205251.7
Blue107
416616.9
591351.1
478638.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768420406010012014094107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.72.4
38.641.0
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End8.8
red by 0.5
51.13.3
35.739.0
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
Second
1792
#17
29.22.4
23.225.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.8
End6.5
blue by 9.0
38.23.3
25.829.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.4
End10.6
Third
7311
#59
5.62.4
10.212.6
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 11.3
4166
#36
16.93.3
16.019.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned