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Red18
462317.2
341823.2
266715.3
Blue10
527113.7
375511.8
73115.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654302060801001810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#13
23.24.5
20.215.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 9.4
5271
#28
13.74.3
15.511.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Second
4623
#37
17.24.5
19.114.6
Auto7.4
Teleop5.2
End4.7
red by 5.4
3755
#55
11.84.3
15.311.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Third
2667
#42
15.34.5
19.314.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End6.9
red by 9.6
7311
#59
5.64.3
12.68.4
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsMissed