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Red85
251215.6
392831.5
418120.6
Blue33
727320.0
32128.7
786425.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775820401008533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#23
31.51.7
34.836.5
Auto12.4
Teleop12.0
End7.1
red by 6.0
7864
#12
25.52.6
23.120.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Second
4181
#44
20.61.7
18.119.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.4
red by 0.6
7273
#40
20.02.6
22.720.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
2512
#43
15.61.7
16.618.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End-0.6
red by 6.9
3212
#54
8.72.6
10.78.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed