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Red63
477818.2
657428.8
266715.3
Blue111
558623.9
702143.0
533916.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65732040608010063111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#25
28.80.1
26.626.8
Auto11.4
Teleop10.3
End7.1
blue by 14.1
43.03.8
33.236.9
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.0
Second
4778
#35
18.20.1
20.620.7
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End6.7
blue by 5.7
5586
#24
23.93.8
19.323.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Third
2667
#42
15.30.1
14.814.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End6.9
blue by 1.2
5339
#45
16.53.8
14.718.5
Auto1.5
Teleop9.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed