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Red119
478638.2
675830.2
341823.2
Blue103
591351.1
757814.8
727320.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85794060100120119103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.24.5
31.936.4
Auto11.3
Teleop16.4
End10.6
blue by 13.0
51.13.1
41.444.6
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
Second
6758
#20
30.24.5
29.634.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End6.8
red by 10.1
7273
#40
20.03.1
20.123.2
Auto2.5
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
3418
#13
23.24.5
17.221.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 8.4
7578
#49
14.83.1
13.216.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned