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Red89
392831.5
212926.8
338125.2
Blue76
73115.6
558623.9
250238.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9767204060801201408976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#23
31.50.2
36.536.7
Auto12.4
Teleop12.0
End7.1
blue by 6.7
2502
#14
38.21.0
35.636.6
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End6.6
Second
2129
#30
26.80.2
25.525.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End6.4
red by 2.9
5586
#24
23.91.0
23.124.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Third
3381
#16
25.20.2
25.025.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End7.0
red by 19.5
7311
#59
5.61.0
8.19.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed