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Red45
32983.6
753027.5
767714.8
Blue55
266715.3
282617.2
786425.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4463020801004555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7530
#34
27.50.4
27.026.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End7.5
red by 2.0
7864
#12
25.50.2
20.520.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Second
7677
#53
14.80.4
7.67.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 2.4
2826
#47
17.20.2
21.120.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End6.0
Third
3298
#57
3.60.4
9.28.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.0
End-0.2
blue by 11.7
2667
#42
15.30.2
14.914.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned