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Qual 582023 Northern Lights Regional
Red72
523244.0
418120.6
462317.2
Blue100
554114.9
478638.2
167518.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757540506070809010011072100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#3
44.00.2
35.9→36.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.4
End10.5
red by 5.8
4786
#4
38.22.2
36.4→38.6
Auto11.3
Teleop16.4
End10.6
Second
4181
#44
20.60.2
19.8→20.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.4
red by 2.6
1675
#50
18.02.2
18.3→20.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Third
4623
#37
17.20.2
14.8→14.9
Auto7.4
Teleop5.2
End4.7
red by 2.4
5541
#38
14.92.2
15.8→18.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned