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Red114
558623.9
614714.7
205251.7
Blue51
32128.7
675830.2
880318.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905820408010012014011451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.73.0
45.948.9
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End8.8
red by 21.5
6758
#20
30.20.8
31.630.9
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End6.8
Second
5586
#24
23.93.0
21.724.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
red by 5.9
8803
#48
18.00.8
19.318.5
Auto7.1
Teleop4.0
End6.9
Third
6147
#51
14.73.0
12.515.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End2.3
red by 6.0
3212
#54
8.70.8
7.56.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed