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Red54
310021.7
60449.2
453123.3
Blue68
533916.5
418120.6
341823.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55622040801005468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#19
23.30.1
23.423.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End9.6
red by 0.2
3418
#13
23.20.6
21.622.2
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End6.7
Second
3100
#41
21.70.1
19.419.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End5.8
red by 1.1
4181
#44
20.60.6
20.320.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.4
Third
6044
#56
9.20.1
9.89.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 7.3
5339
#45
16.50.6
15.816.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed