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Red115
786425.5
527113.7
591351.1
Blue99
298742.3
462428.5
558623.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84108406010012014016018011599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.13.2
47.050.1
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
red by 8.9
2987
#10
42.31.9
44.242.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End7.6
Second
7864
#12
25.53.2
24.727.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End6.6
blue by 3.0
4624
#29
28.51.9
29.427.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Third
5271
#28
13.73.2
10.613.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 10.2
5586
#24
23.91.9
24.722.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned