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Red74
767714.8
462317.2
310021.7
Blue52
614714.7
60449.2
392831.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4767204060801007452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#41
21.72.7
19.522.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End5.8
blue by 9.8
3928
#23
31.50.8
34.633.8
Auto12.4
Teleop12.0
End7.1
Second
4623
#37
17.22.7
14.517.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.2
End4.7
red by 2.5
6147
#51
14.70.8
15.514.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
7677
#53
14.82.7
12.114.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 5.7
6044
#56
9.20.8
9.99.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed