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Red75
249131.1
675830.2
423926.8
Blue112
657428.8
642133.6
179229.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94101608012014075112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#21
31.10.4
31.531.1
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.3
blue by 2.5
33.60.4
34.434.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End7.0
Second
6758
#20
30.20.4
30.630.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End6.8
red by 1.0
1792
#17
29.20.4
30.030.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.8
End6.5
Third
26.80.4
27.226.8
Auto10.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
blue by 2.0
6574
#25
28.80.4
29.630.0
Auto11.4
Teleop10.3
End7.1