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Red141
462428.5
591351.1
205251.7
Blue63
250238.2
392831.5
786425.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401048012016018020014163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.2
50.750.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End8.8
red by 13.4
2502
#14
38.21.2
40.539.4
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End6.6
Second
51.10.2
50.150.0
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
red by 19.6
3928
#23
31.51.2
33.832.7
Auto12.4
Teleop12.0
End7.1
Third
4624
#29
28.50.2
27.527.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 3.0
7864
#12
25.51.2
27.826.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End6.6