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Red135
392629.1
523244.0
298742.3
Blue130
753027.5
702143.0
52540.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511280100120140160180135130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.6
44.144.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.4
End10.5
red by 1.1
43.00.5
41.642.2
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.0
Second
2987
#10
42.30.6
42.443.0
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End7.6
red by 1.8
525
#11
40.50.5
39.239.7
Auto13.4
Teleop18.6
End8.5
Third
3926
#33
29.10.6
29.329.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End6.5
red by 1.6
7530
#34
27.50.5
26.226.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End7.5