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Red129
401128.5
171439.5
604537.5
Blue95
534839.5
883622.9
284734.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111103608012014016012995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.5
38.639.1
Auto12.4
Teleop17.1
End10.0
Level
39.50.2
39.839.6
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End5.1
Second
37.50.5
36.637.1
Auto12.8
Teleop18.2
End6.5
red by 3.0
34.50.2
34.734.5
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End6.3
Third
4011
#31
28.50.5
27.728.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 5.6
8836
#20
22.90.2
23.222.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.8