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Red79
451124.4
284734.5
253122.5
Blue62
582630.2
851616.4
329118.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6664304050607080901007962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.9
21.623.5
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End6.3
red by 4.3
5826
#14
30.20.2
19.019.2
Auto11.6
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Second
4511
#15
24.41.9
18.120.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End7.6
red by 5.5
3291
#48
18.90.2
17.517.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End7.1
Third
2531
#17
22.51.9
22.224.1
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End7.8
red by 6.1
8516
#50
16.40.2
23.823.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed