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Qual 102023 Lake Superior Regional
Red50
604712.6
253812.8
534839.5
Blue66
621724.9
223922.5
472836.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5677020401001201405066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#4
39.50.6
21.7→21.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End5.1
red by 3.1
4728
#6
36.41.0
26.1→25.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
Second
2538
#45
12.80.6
18.2→17.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 12.1
6217
#28
24.91.0
21.1→20.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End9.6
Third
6047
#53
12.60.6
15.4→14.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
blue by 9.9
2239
#21
22.51.0
22.7→21.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsMissed