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Qual 162023 Lake Superior Regional
Red78
837211.4
251121.5
173231.0
Blue86
171613.3
226439.2
304222.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71670204060801001201407886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#23
31.00.7
32.8→33.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 8.3
2264
#3
39.21.4
27.7→29.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End8.6
Second
2511
#44
21.50.7
17.7→18.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End6.0
blue by 1.3
3042
#13
22.81.4
22.1→23.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End7.4
Third
8372
#55
11.40.7
15.8→16.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.3
blue by 2.0
1716
#49
13.31.4
13.9→15.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned