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Red47
474126.8
761925.9
217714.1
Blue54
326717.5
851616.4
253812.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70640501001504754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4741
#27
26.82.0
20.818.8
Auto10.9
Teleop7.8
End8.2
red by 9.4
3267
#34
17.50.8
19.318.5
Auto7.4
Teleop4.8
End5.3
Second
7619
#32
25.92.0
22.620.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 9.5
8516
#50
16.40.8
23.923.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.8
Third
2177
#46
14.12.0
21.419.4
Auto6.1
Teleop2.6
End5.4
red by 1.3
2538
#45
12.80.8
17.616.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned