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Red41
401128.5
704118.6
631813.2
Blue83
400925.7
252617.7
250313.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417102060801001204183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#31
28.50.7
14.413.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 2.8
4009
#29
25.71.1
24.025.2
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Second
7041
#35
18.60.7
16.015.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End5.1
red by 0.9
2526
#25
17.71.1
20.121.3
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.7
Third
6318
#60
13.20.7
12.111.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 0.6
2503
#36
13.81.1
18.819.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned