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Red106
710335.6
582630.2
284734.5
Blue62
226439.2
286119.3
617524.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727420406010012014010662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.64.2
21.926.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End7.5
blue by 3.7
39.21.4
29.127.7
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End8.6
Second
34.54.2
23.427.6
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End6.3
red by 10.2
6175
#11
24.31.4
20.719.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End4.9
Third
5826
#14
30.24.2
22.927.1
Auto11.6
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 10.9
2861
#51
19.31.4
19.818.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed