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Red62
569031.3
525319.1
422912.5
Blue83
761925.9
472836.4
451124.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587520401001206283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.6
25.826.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 5.1
36.41.6
30.031.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
Second
5253
#39
19.10.6
15.415.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End7.6
blue by 6.9
7619
#32
25.91.6
20.622.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.8
End6.9
Third
4229
#56
12.50.6
15.816.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End4.4
blue by 11.9
4511
#15
24.41.6
18.019.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned