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Red43
401128.5
369221.9
171613.3
Blue136
604537.5
883622.9
469314.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5754020408010012043136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#31
28.53.0
18.315.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
blue by 8.9
37.54.0
18.522.5
Auto12.8
Teleop18.2
End6.5
Second
3692
#52
21.93.0
17.814.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 1.1
8836
#20
22.94.0
15.819.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
1716
#49
13.33.0
16.913.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.4
blue by 0.9
4693
#41
14.34.0
16.520.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned