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Qual 472023 Lake Superior Regional
Red57
369221.9
779712.1
251121.5
Blue77
329728.3
514314.2
851616.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58672040801005777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3692
#52
21.90.4
15.5→15.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 6.4
3297
#26
28.30.6
29.0→29.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.9
End4.9
Second
2511
#44
21.50.4
23.1→22.7
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End6.0
red by 5.1
8516
#50
16.40.6
19.8→20.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.8
Third
7797
#57
12.10.4
16.9→16.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 2.1
5143
#42
14.20.6
12.7→13.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed