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Red47
329118.9
304222.8
604712.6
Blue85
761925.9
617524.3
401128.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61653040507080901004785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#13
22.81.2
22.020.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End7.4
blue by 5.8
4011
#31
28.52.7
18.020.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
Second
3291
#48
18.91.2
22.020.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End7.1
blue by 7.0
7619
#32
25.92.7
20.423.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.8
End6.9
Third
6047
#53
12.61.2
13.412.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
blue by 11.7
6175
#11
24.32.7
22.124.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned