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Red88
451124.4
226439.2
329418.3
Blue23
223922.5
779712.1
252617.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806840601001208823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.6
32.133.7
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End8.6
red by 16.7
2239
#21
22.54.7
25.320.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End6.6
Second
4511
#15
24.41.6
23.825.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End7.6
red by 6.7
2526
#25
17.74.7
21.316.6
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.7
Third
3294
#40
18.31.6
17.619.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End3.1
red by 6.2
7797
#57
12.14.7
18.613.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed