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Red70
250313.8
469314.3
171439.5
Blue32
286119.3
329418.3
422912.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6854204060801001207032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.8
34.235.0
Auto12.4
Teleop17.1
End10.0
red by 20.2
2861
#51
19.32.2
18.616.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End5.7
Second
4693
#41
14.30.8
14.415.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End3.6
blue by 4.0
3294
#40
18.32.1
19.217.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Third
2503
#36
13.80.8
13.514.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
red by 1.3
4229
#56
12.52.1
14.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed