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Red78
171613.3
400925.7
569031.3
Blue58
253122.5
217714.1
223922.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745902040801001207858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.1
31.432.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 8.8
2239
#21
22.50.1
20.720.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End6.6
Second
4009
#29
25.71.1
23.925.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 3.2
2531
#17
22.50.1
23.323.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End7.8
Third
1716
#49
13.31.1
12.413.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End4.4
blue by 0.8
2177
#46
14.10.1
13.513.6
Auto6.1
Teleop2.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned