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Red43
631813.2
761925.9
253812.8
Blue66
251121.5
253122.5
222724.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567820401001204366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7619
#32
25.91.2
27.125.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 1.4
2227
#38
24.50.4
24.924.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End6.7
Second
6318
#60
13.21.3
14.513.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 9.3
2531
#17
22.50.4
23.423.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End7.8
Third
2538
#45
12.81.2
14.012.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 8.7
2511
#44
21.50.4
21.921.5
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned