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Red106
181630.1
472836.4
401128.5
Blue96
326717.5
319733.1
710335.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958320406012014016010696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.8
34.836.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
red by 0.9
35.61.6
32.233.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End7.5
Second
30.11.8
28.930.7
Auto13.0
Teleop10.6
End6.4
blue by 3.1
3197
#30
33.11.6
31.633.1
Auto7.2
Teleop22.4
End3.5
Third
4011
#31
28.51.8
23.525.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 11.1
3267
#34
17.51.6
15.917.5
Auto7.4
Teleop4.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed