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Red120
282330.9
569031.3
9333.2
Blue118
173231.0
710335.6
451124.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101926080120140120118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#18
33.20.8
32.533.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.9
End7.2
blue by 2.4
35.60.1
33.733.6
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End7.5
Second
31.30.8
30.731.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 0.4
1732
#23
31.00.1
29.129.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Third
2823
#22
30.90.8
30.331.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End7.8
red by 6.5
4511
#15
24.40.1
24.524.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End7.6