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Red113
565323.2
472836.4
226439.2
Blue81
253029.8
474126.8
181630.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10892608010012014016011381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.1
39.539.4
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End8.6
red by 9.2
30.10.7
30.730.0
Auto13.0
Teleop10.6
End6.4
Second
36.40.1
36.636.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
red by 6.7
2530
#19
29.80.7
30.429.7
Auto10.2
Teleop12.7
End6.9
Third
5653
#33
23.20.1
23.423.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
blue by 3.7
4741
#27
26.80.7
27.526.8
Auto10.9
Teleop7.8
End8.2