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Red117
223930.6
388350.8
247226.1
Blue79
420728.4
302321.5
400937.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968720406012014016018011779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.1
44.546.6
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
red by 13.4
4009
#14
37.40.6
27.326.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
2239
#25
30.62.1
23.625.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
red by 2.1
4207
#36
28.40.6
32.932.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End6.1
Third
2472
#27
26.12.1
20.422.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 4.6
3023
#33
21.50.6
22.221.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed