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Red160
87650.5
523252.1
472853.3
Blue63
313035.3
616620.6
223930.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155675010020016063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.7
45.447.1
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
red by 18.0
3130
#18
35.31.8
27.926.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Second
52.11.7
47.549.2
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
red by 21.5
2239
#25
30.61.1
27.726.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
Third
876
#4
50.51.7
45.947.6
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
red by 29.9
6166
#32
20.61.8
18.616.8
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed