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Red138
247226.1
308230.8
288352.3
Blue79
674927.3
304227.8
302321.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110692040608010012014016018013879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.32.3
48.951.2
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
red by 24.5
3042
#26
27.80.3
25.025.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Second
3082
#12
30.83.9
28.332.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
red by 3.5
6749
#28
27.30.4
23.523.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.5
Third
2472
#27
26.12.3
21.023.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 4.6
3023
#33
21.50.3
21.621.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned