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Red104
247226.1
304227.8
313035.3
Blue119
419834.7
392638.6
546433.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77964060120140104119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#18
35.33.3
25.729.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End5.9
blue by 3.3
3926
#19
38.62.1
32.834.9
Auto13.6
Teleop17.2
End7.8
Second
3042
#26
27.82.0
25.327.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3
blue by 6.9
4198
#15
34.72.1
30.132.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End7.6
Third
2472
#27
26.12.0
23.325.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.9
blue by 7.5
5464
#10
33.62.1
24.626.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned