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Red92
223930.6
420728.4
375119.9
Blue111
288352.3
616620.6
265427.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210720406012014016018092111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#25
30.60.5
29.529.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
blue by 21.8
52.30.6
51.251.8
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
Second
4207
#36
28.40.5
29.830.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End6.1
red by 0.9
2654
#22
27.50.6
26.326.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End6.7
Third
3751
#24
19.90.8
20.621.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 0.7
6166
#32
20.61.0
19.620.6
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned